摘要：

【目的】开放获取（Open Access，OA）出版成为学术出版的主流模式，探索不同出版模式下期刊影响力的关键影响因素与影响差异，为期刊影响力提升及运营决策提供参考和建议。【方法】通过对2018—2022年Web of Science数据库中订阅、混合OA和完全OA 3种出版模式的期刊数据进行多元回归分析，揭示不同出版模式下期刊影响力所受的影响差异。【结果】发文量与影响因子呈现倒U型关系；国际合作水平和热点论文数量对影响因子有正向影响，期刊OA程度越高，影响越大；国家层面，美国和中国期刊的影响力相较于其他国家尤为突出；大规模出版商在OA出版市场中占据主导地位，出版商规模差异对不同出版模式期刊的影响加剧；快速交流需求高的学科中混合OA期刊的影响力更高。【结论】在OA出版的浪潮中，各出版模式的期刊均需平衡发文质量和数量，加强国际合作，适应国家政策导向，关注出版商规模效应，结合学科特性调整发展策略，在开放出版时代保持和提升学术影响力。

关键词: 开放出版, 出版模式, 开放获取期刊, 多元回归分析, 期刊影响力, 发文量, 学科特性

Abstract:

[Purposes] Open access (OA) publishing is becoming the mainstream among various academic publishing modes. This paper aims to analyze journals published in different modes to explore the key influencing factors on journal influence and their influence differences, providing references and suggestions for the increase in journal influence and decision-making in operation. [Methods] A multiple regression analysis was carried out on the data of journals published in subscription, hybrid OA, and full OA modes in the Web of Science database from 2018 to 2022 to reveal the differences in journal influence in various publishing modes. [Findings] There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the number of publications and the journal impact factor. The impact factor of a journal is positively associated with its level of international cooperation and the number of popular articles in the journal. If a journal's degree of OA publishing is higher, it gains greater influence. At the national level, more prominent influences are found in the United States and China, compared with other countries, on journal influence. Large-scale publishers dominate the OA publishing market, and the distinction of scales among different publishers has an increasingly important influence on journals with different publishing modes. Hybrid journals in disciplines that require rapid communication have a greater impact. [Conclusions] In the era of OA publishing, journals with different publishing modes need to balance quality and quantity, strengthen international cooperation, adapt to national policies, focus on the scale effect of publishers, and adjust development strategies according to the characteristics of disciplines to maintain and enhance academic influence.

Key words: Open publishing, Publishing mode, Open access journal, Multiple regression analysis, Journal influence, Number of publications, Discipline characteristic