摘要：

【目的】探讨不同国家和地区学术论文外流现状及中国论文外流的结构特征,为深化我国科技评价改革和世界一流期刊建设提供决策参考。【方法】以InCites数据库为数据来源,计算2014—2023年不同国家和地区论文外流情况,详细分析我国论文外流的结构特征。【结果】统计的23个论文产出和期刊出版大国中,论文外流率大于80.00%者19个国家,新加坡论文外流率最高(99.00%),美国最低(40.76%)。中国论文外流率93.53%,排在第7位,但10年间中国外流论文数量达4200140篇。中国论文主要流向美国、英格兰、瑞士、荷兰、德国等发达国家和地区;10年间我国论文外流率由89.90%攀升至94.43%,综合性社会科学论文外流率最高(99.63%)。【结论】论文外流是各国家和地区的普遍现象,但我国论文外流现象尤其严重;我国外流论文主要流向了发达国家和地区,而国外流向我国的论文数量处于较低水平;我国论文外流率上升趋势明显,社会科学论文外流现象更加突出。

关键词: 国家和地区, 学术论文, 论文外流, 结构特征, 动态演进

Abstract:

[Purposes] To explore the current status of academic paper outflow in different countries and regions, and the structural characteristics of outflow papers in China, so as to provide decision-making reference for deepening the reform of scientific and technological evaluation and the construction of world-class scientific journals in China. [Methods] The InCites database was used as the data source to calculate the paper outflow in different countries and regions from 2014 to 2023, and the structural characteristics of outflow paper in China were analyzed in detail. [Findings] Among the 23 major countries in paper output and periodical publishing, 19 countries have a paper outflow rate of more than 80.00%, with the highest outflow rate in Singapore (99.00%) and the lowest in the United States (40.76%), and China ranks seventh with a paper outflow rate of 93.53%, but the number of papers outflow in 10 years has reached 4200140. China’s papers mainly flow to the United States, England, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Germany and other developed countries and regions; In the past 10 years, the outflow rate of papers in China has climbed from 89.90% to 94.43%, and the outflow rate of comprehensive social science papers is the highest (99.63%). [Conclusions] The outflow of a large number of papers is a common phenomenon in various countries and regions, however, the outflow of papers in China is particularly serious; China outflow papers mainly flow into developed countries and regions, while the number of papers flowing from abroad to China is at a relatively low level; China paper outflow rate has a clear upward trend, and the outflow of social science papers is more prominent.

Key words: Countries and regions, Academic papers, Paper outflow, Structural characteristics, Dynamic evolution